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    Guys, I don’t know if you’ve heard this but…the plague is back.

    No, not the […]

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    When I was a kid just learning about computers, I remember reading up on […]

    • Small correctoin: “Dismissed with prejudice” means that they *cannot* file the charge again. If it was dismissed but the police was free to charge him again, then it was dismissed *without* prejudice.

    • Machine Learning is considered a subset of AI, so it technically does count as AI, although not what most people think of.

      I do not have a high opinion of the cat study. Models do not perform well when given data so far outside of the distribution that they were trained for; this is not new or surprising. It’s not even a good criticism unless you’re supplying data that the model would be applied to in practice. I think the paper was rightfully retracted. But it is funny and illustrates a larger point, and don’t think you were wrong to bring it up.

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    I’m not really sure what I want to talk about today so let’s bring out my ide […]

    • I’m very disappointed that this made it out of review. Psych Science is the flagship journal of the American Psychological Society (very different than the APA, American Psychological Association). It’s been a long time since I worked in the field, but I always respected Psych Science.

    • IQ tests are supposed to be independent of cultural background, education, wealth and other factors, but they are not and never have been. Using garbage to prove garbage never ends well.

      But maybe the “cold winter” theory explains why the giants who live north of the wall are the smartest and most decent people in Westeros?

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    Last year I made a video about JK Rowling, who used to be the author of the […]

    • “It’s common knowledge at this point that psychological warfare works, and if you can keep your enemy distracted, exhausted, and angry at a different target (like kids and dumbasses), you will have an easier time winning.”

      “Rapists will lurk in bathrooms”
      Or “Who will arrest the murderers when you defund the cops”
      Or “the gays will turn everybody gay and the human race will become extinct.”

      Different iterations of the same tactic.

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    Oh my gosh, I have more good news to talk about! Let’s talk about m […]

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    One night a few weeks ago, my dog Indy was being super weird. Like, weirder […]

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    I’ve been in quarantine for three entire months. It hasn’t always been eas […]

    • Nice! As somebody said, this has all brought out the fact that good, kind, unselfish people remain so, while nasty mean vindictive assholes remain the same as always.

      Two points.
      If Iran is one of the places that had a better response. that’s a pretty low bar to jump – the only country to have an actual full blown second wave going!

      Second, the school closure thing was known right at the start out of Wuhan. Kids don’t get it easily and if they do it’s from family not school. I think only one known case of kid to kid transmission in Australia (7400 cases). All the parents understandably freak over Kawasaki Disease but the chances of that are literally similar to dying in a plane crash.

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    Ten years ago, the Mythbusters tested a few potential myths about pain. In one […]

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    Before we get into today’s video, let me just state for the record that b […]

  • Rebecca Watson posted a new activity comment 1 month, 1 week ago

    I mean, I literally mentioned the huge problems in the Tenderloin and elsewhere so I’m not clear on what else you want me to do.

    • I don’t know either. You did get there. But my SRO dwelling friend didn’t think it was enough. Sure, California and SF quarantine are yonks beyond conditions in red states. But SF’s housing and homelessness are just SO bad that its hard not to be distracted.

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    In my previous video, I talked about the completely baseless conspiracy theory […]

    • Conditions in the Tenderloin, the streets full of tents and raw sewage on the pavement. They have nothing to do with Newsome NOT leaving the state, or Republican dystopian fantasies about states with grown-ups deciding pandemic policy. And you DID get to the matter eventually. But when I shared this, I heard back right away from a friend who escaped to Hayward from a Tenderloin SRO hotel. Of course, they described you as ‘privileged.’

      • I mean, I literally mentioned the huge problems in the Tenderloin and elsewhere so I’m not clear on what else you want me to do.

        • I don’t know either. You did get there. But my SRO dwelling friend didn’t think it was enough. Sure, California and SF quarantine are yonks beyond conditions in red states. But SF’s housing and homelessness are just SO bad that its hard not to be distracted.

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    As you all know, we are in the darkest, stupidest timeline, so it’s hard to s […]

    • Somehow I don’t feel like this answered the question at all. It feels more like some kind of straw man built on outliers. Or public shaming. It doesn’t really explain why people believe what they do, but if I believe what you’re saying it’s because they’re just bad people.

      Side note: Google image search results for “shameful straw men” are surprisingly tame.

    • OT but I thought you might like to see what happens when a New Zealand minister violates quarantine. You can also see why the Prime Minister is getting some high ratings. She does well in / earthquakes too.

    • “Areas like mine here in the San Francisco Bay Area who sheltered in place early have seen the completely not-shocking result of fewer deaths per 100,000 people”

      Yes exactly. They found the same thing in Europe too, as this graph shows:

      Plus, you are right that “lockdown” is used too loosely, in Germany for instance, they could go out, but were not supposed to congregate. “Shelter in place” is much more accurate.

    • Another thing – with the Spanish Flu epidemic of 1918 States or cities that went back to” business as usua”l too soon fared worse economically than those who addressed the health problem first. This point cannot be made strongly enough.

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    Let’s take a break from pandemic news to talk about some actually good s […]

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    Last month I mentioned that conservatives were using talking points from John […]

    • Ouch! No link to the Buzzfeed article?

    • Mm no, this attempt to downplay fails because the deaths remain the same while the number of infections is far greater than anybody suspected.
      So the epidemic has spread way further than anybody suspected based on the late and inadequate PCR testing – what a surprise.
      This is why the US has reached not a peak but a plateau of new cases/day which is going to take months to decrease to a reasonable level.
      idk how contact tracing can be done with such numbers, does the US even do that? I imagine all the MAGAS would refuse to cooperate or bullshit and lie outright.
      Point 2 if anybody is hoping for herd immunity, 60% is the target level so even New York with 20% antibodies is going to have to do it all over again twice more to reach that level. Levels will be far lower outside the immediate “ground zero” of the epicenters.
      If you look at Sweden which is the golden boy of herd immunity fans, with their official case numbers of 500/day, it’s gonna take something like nearly 40 years to reach that 60% target. So yeah, I hope their antibody frequency IS at least 10X greater than these official figures might indicate.
      Also I hope that “antibody positive” means protective type and levels of antibody sufficient to confer actual immunity to a decent slug of corona in the real world!
      Not to mention, I hope that hypothetical immunity lasts til the second wave in the fall and the third next year….

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    In previous videos I’ve debunked conservative Americans’ claim that the gov […]

    • Ha! You read my mind! Hungary is the exact “nasty little dictatorship” I had in mind in my comment to a previous post about women leaders being good at managing the pandemic.

      Generalising about good government from a single metric is logically shaky and easily refuted.

      But the analogy with Trump is spot on. Another term with him and the US is going to degenerate from being the respected leader of the western world into being an irrelevant laughing stock.

    • While we’re at it it perhaps you could explain something for me.

      How can COVID-19 be , at the same time:
      1. A weaponised virus engineered as a bioweapon in a lab in Wuhan and deliberately targeted against the US
      and
      2. Fake News, a Democrat hoax, no worse than the flu but overblown by Democrats (and presumably, like, the whole rest of the World) in a conspiracy to take away Guns, Freedoms and Free Speech?

    • I think Covid-19 is ideal for an aspiring dictator. Emergency powers are needed, fear of strangers and banning gatherings. It doesn’t get any more opportune than that. It’s both our despair and good fortune to have a mental patient running the US. Despair since any kind of intelligent and coherent response was beyond the feds. Good fortune since seizing an opportunity for anything other than short sight sighted graft and angry tweets is beyond him.

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    Let’s talk about rights and freedom. Here in America, we are super into f […]

    • I do not envy you the impending comments from weird nerds defending Musk. That said, you might want to amend the article. The difference between 36.5 and 37 billion dollars is 500 million, not 5 billion. Not that it makes that level of wealth any less disgusting; I won’t ever see a fraction of 50 million, much less 500.

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    The best thing about living in the time of a pandemic is the fact that most of […]

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    I was having trouble coming up with a video this week and eventually I […]

    • Heck yes on numbers 1 and 2.

      On number, 3, I have so been guilty of this and am torn between “AH PUBLIC SAFETY” and “STFU ME IT’S NOT MY BUSINESS.”

      Anyway, I’ve stopped being annoyed at the new neighbor throwing small outdoor parties in his backyard. Cuz maybe we’re all just going a little bug nut crazy and need to sit in a somewhat socially distanced circle bullshitting, rapping along to Notorious B.I.G., and smoking weed.

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    A few years ago…wait, sorry, hours? Days. I think it was a few weeks ago […]

    • Presence of antibodies may not protect against reinfection, depending on the titer, so a simple qualitative test is fairly useless except to indicate prior exposure to the disease. It could be handy to know if asymptomatic = low titer but nobody knows this yet.

    • Also I just checked, Australia had 1.4 million Chinese tourists last year, staying for an average 11 days, pro rata that’s about 3800/day, comparable to yours.

      Because of aggressive testing we know that even now our rate of community transmission is very low. You reckon we would miss something from November? I mean 3 cases from Ruby Princess turned into 100 within a fortnight.

      20 deaths from that btw, we got MOST of our cases from the US, we ought to sue the US govt for their incompetence in all this. Chinese, otoh, handled the outbreak in exemplary fashion as far as we are concerned. So Republicans can stick that up their ass along with their light sabers.

    • I have seen reporters make a point of saying that some person that they quote wasn’t involved with the research that they are commenting on, if that is the case. I can recall noticing that many times over the last few years in the larger, reputable publications when they are writing about recent research developments. I think that some of the better news editors and publications have trained their reporters to be careful about this.

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    Writing for Forbes, Avivah Wittenberg-Cox says that the female leaders of […]

    • I am glad you called out Wittenberg-Cox on this, I mean, she raised some good points but took it too far.
      As you say, the only way we can really criticise will be in retrospect, and it’s far too early to be awarding the COVID gold medals yet. This is pobably not a good way to make an argument that will stand the test of time.

      As far as I can see the country with the best record so far is Vietnam, a country of nearly 100 million and zero deaths.
      Many fascist states in Eastern Europe have done quite well with this outbreak but I wouldn’t want to live under their regimes.

      As Obama said, good people can do bad things and bad people can do good things.

      I personally have a deep suspicion of all politicians, male or female. Their lust for power sets them apart from most of us and while aggression and anger may be stereotypical male characteristics, women can be equally toxic, they just have a different way of showing it.

    • Hmm Charlotte Seck claims plagiarism of her original article:
      https://twitter.com/StefSimanowitz/status/1254070966176681992/photo/1

    • twitter post deleted dammit! Who knows where the truth lies…

    • I was thinking about some of the bosses I have had. Best were Albert (M), Lorraine (F), Maryanne (F), Terry (M).

      While Lorraine and Maryanne were a lot sexier than Albert and Terry, who cared when we were in the middle of a project? We just needed someone to keep us on track and get us the resources we needed.

    • Dear Rebecca, my wife and daughter rather liked Wittenberg-Cox’s idea that female leaders might handle a crisis of this type better than a typical male leader. When I foolishly jumped in with comments that echoed your own, they didn’t argue with me, simply stared at me silently for a few moments and then changed the subject.

      In regard to your statement: “Women aren’t magical fairies here to improve the world.” I would like to say that your argument is prosaically correct, but my personal experience is otherwise.

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